Trump is angry with a world that can’t give him easy deals | Rafael Behr

Trump is angry with a world that can’t give him easy deals | Rafael Behr

IT is as close to Donald Trump can reach a good statement of his doctrine management. “I can do it. I may not do it“The President said to journalists in the White House house.” No one knows what I do. “

The question is about involvement of Israeli air strikes in Iranian nuclear facilities. Days pass, the US bombs continue. Some expect it to happen. Others, including Keir Starmer, sorted to say that they didn’t. Have not yet known. The doctrine unexpected should not be violated in any way.

It is also available in economic and home policy. Trump’s boasts Inscrutability that could have been done about tariff rates, OA Decision to be with Marines Against our citizens who rejected his immigration agency.

Quick inconsistency is an attitude of the president personality, but also a learned management technique. Keeping everyone around you, turning away from the beauty of men, replacing and dropped favorites in a whim – these methods of preventing control. They make disorientation and vulnerability. People who have passed by sudden changes in the mood should be hanged at each word of the leader, looking for saying, waiting instruction. The individual agency is lost, trust is prompted. It’s something that the cult leaders do.

A technique working in a quasi-monarchical entourage is not well suited to international activities. Foreign leaders are not white teachers at home. They may seek the favor of the US president in the trade or frightened by his military anger, but often with competitive national interests in the background. On the stage of the world, Trump could never hear the odd devotion he got from the worshipers of a rally, which was a reason that he hates traveling.

The stress palpable this weekend on NATO Summit in Hague. Trump did not hide his destruction for European democracies. She is mad at the pentagon for security. He is not satisfied that defending their continent, especially its alley under violent attack from Russia, is the US problem. The threat he makes in the short term in his first term to go out of NATO if other members do not start paying their way hangs still in alliance. European leaders should try to continue to withdraw while planning the contingency for the day he decides to leave them.

Matthew Whitaker, the permanent US representative in NATO, attempted to commit At that point in the summit, which declares it “never more than done”. But he also talked about ignorance what the trumpet could do. “I don’t want … to claim that he can read his mind and find out what he says.”

That’s the doctrine: No one knows. It presses the members of the NATO with an awkward dance, conducting for Trump’s welfare while working around his surroundings. They want to impress him with their financial ambition, adding Spend 5% of their National GDP To defense of 2035. But they also know that does not expect any commitment commitment, or no reliability.

The battle of the Middle East drives uncertainty to new height. European leaders should continue to focus on Ukraine and the Russian hope transferred the territory aggression to the other side of the eastern flank. Vladimir Putin was not found legitimate in boundaries taken in the collapse of the Soviet Union. He also looks at the Russian economy, political apparatus and propaganda minchinery to remove the frequent Western war. A lesson from Ukraine’s condition is to think that if Putin says he will fight, he means it. One more is, while determining expensive, cheaper than war that comes when the Kremlin feels confidently unknown.

These calculations remain in Europe at night, but not Trump. He does not recognize Russia as Ukraine’s aggression and enjoy the end of the war in terms that we have left the balance of the world.

But the framing of the Grand Geostratic Terms option hides mottier motives, which are often salients with trumpet. He didn’t want to take Kyiv’s part because that was what Joe Biden did. Not his reason and so he thought was mute.

This is not what happened to Iran. Allies are required in the US, publicly, to judge Trump’s military intervention that seems to be made according to a combination of the nuclear manner of nuclear manner in nuclear nuclear nuclear. There may be a reason to argue with intelligence intelligence evaluations that speak the threshold of weapons – the willingness is not close. Perhaps the time of action is actually close.

But arguments arguing, changing an option Trump makes as much vanity as any more sophisticated motive. He was ridiculed in Benjamin Netanyahu’s war. The Prime Minister of Israel appeared to gamed the avoidance of the US President to see weak and his infinite appetite. Israel’s early success – a remarkable authentication of military intelligence taking senior Iranian commanders and assets – the hope of riding a winning surgery for victory.

The signs that the regime’s change is on the agenda can produce prodded Ali Khamenei, Supreme Leader in the basis for the basis that the first chapter is maintained, while not careful. The officials of the Senior White House insisted on the goals of war limited to the nuclear threat, but because they did not know a war on this questionnaire.

Trump’s supporters say it’s proof that his quick style works. In strategic studies known as “Madman’s theory”. Rejecting guards, ready to do something unreasonable, insists on an enemy to take care. The obvious risk is that it also teaches other parts of the world’s merit. The rulers of Iran are more convinced than any nuclear weapons to ensure their sovereignty. .

That is not interested. He thinks there is easy win, uncomplicated results. So he is Unbearable irritation to Israel and Iran For breach of stopping and generally unknown “what fuck they do”. He knows he looks played by Netanyahu, the more he appeared to be a Flickker in fright of fright of Putin For “tapping” him in negotiations to end the war in Ukraine. He promised us to have anything to do with voters. He crosses when the world keeps them from him.

This is a natural function of doctrine unexpectedly. Speaking of other countries they don’t know what you do less can answer diplomacy; less biddable in the whim of a US president. A fierce cycle began. Trump has relied on his immediate Person to prevent situations that he does not understand, reveals his disagreement with his leverages of power.

For European democracies it feels. It is difficult to coordinate defense against external threats when the most important power of your alliance is the beginning of many situations. But NATO leaders do not have a respe from uncertainty while Trump is sitting in the White House. Item they need most from him – is trustworthy – is something he has set to personality and doctrine unable to give.

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