Europe will never agree with Israel – but here is the way it can work to help Gaza | Nathalie Tocci

Europe will never agree with Israel – but here is the way it can work to help Gaza | Nathalie Tocci

EUropean consciences began to wake up to Israel’s government crimes on the grounds of Palestinian territories – and it’s about. What causes this and slow awakening? Is Israel’s murder of more than 54,000 Palestinians since Hamas attack on 7 October 2023? Thousands of children Nice dying from hunger and malnutrition? civilian burning alive? Ministers of Ministers of Ministers of Ministers of Ministers and Revision of Gaza Strip, Departure of Palestinians? Or may this be the Army of Israel Firing shots of diplomatsincluding Europeans, in West Bank – or the Racist chantingAt the time of marching the state of Jerusalem, in “death of the Arabs” and “may their villages burn”?

It may be a combination of all the above, as well as the recognition that the Principal Pressure of Israel is certainly not from Washington. Whatever matters for it, Europe May be nearly coming an inflection point of graph, turning the dark page in the complexity of almost 20 months war on Gaza.

A minority of European countries has made a principal principle of war. Members of the EU, Ireland and Slovenia, as well as Norway outside the Bloc, the Palestine of Korted Refugbo, and the International Criminal Courtese, and the Kortty Criminal Courtes, and the Korted Curence of Justice, who continued to agree to the International Chief.

However, there is also a minority of countries that continue to offer unexplored support for Netanyahu government. The most unrepentant is the Czech Republic and Hungary, with Germany and Italy next to the line. The Prime Minister of Hungary, Viktor Orbán, reached INVITE Netanyahu, in Budapest, despite the international criminal arrest warrant. Hungary before ICC left everything.

Most other European countries sit silent in the middle. In the first six months of the war, it means refusing to call for a stop. Only in Spring in 2024, if Joe Biden Joe Biden administration in Israel brick has changedThe EU involves the chorus in favor of a truce.

European governments and EU institutions are tenderly pushed against Monstrumus by Donald Trump Gaza “Riviera” suggestion and accepted the Arab recovery plan and re-plan. But they continued to help Israel, holding the meeting of the EU-Israel Association Consite in February led by the high representative of the EU, Kaja Kallas, and Israel Gideon Sa’ar. In most, they lightly hit Israel on the wrist for uneven and unrestricted strip violence.

Now, however, the quiet mostly moves. The UK has Suspended negotiation to a bilateral free deal with Israeli traders. Stopping that negotiations do not cost Israel, because there is no agreement to exist. But it is important.

France is more powerful and more active, not only in diplomatic pursuing a two-state solution, but also to introduce the possibility of Total punishmentS in Israel. So far, it’s the boy’s steps, most abstract and / or tentative. But they show a change in motivation and heart.

The potentially most meaningful is to move inside the EU suspend the most profitable trade arrangements In Israel under EU-Israel’s agreement. To manifest, suspension of preferred trade cannot be a punishment. Penalties, imposes import restrictions or import restrictions, need united EU agreements, and difficult to imagine all 27 EU governments in harmony with that. Suspension of the entire EU-Israel agreement is also difficult to imagine, because it should also be unanimity.

But suspension of preferred trade means controlling a benefit of Association agreement and it falls in the EU trade policy, which requires a qualified most EU states voted favor. The trade between the EU and Israel will continue, Not only in the preferred terms as it has been the same since the association agreement began 2000.

While considering unimaginable in the past, now there is a real possibility that this process can continue. For the time, Kallas ordered a review of Israel’s obedience to its obligations under the agreement of the association. Interestingly, review was formally requested not by a state member of the pro-Palestinian such as Spain or Ireland, or even France, but by a traditional pro-Israel is oneThe Netherlands, led by a proper government.

Considering that human rights and respect for the law of international legal “important elements” of Israeli’s documented agreement, who ignores a proposal to the European Commission for a suspension.

Eligibility mostly need to suspend the dealing section of the agreement required 15 in 27 states to support the step. Seventeen countries support review. But a qualified most also requires the agreement with member states that represent 65% of the EU population. If Germany and Italy oppose the step, the threshold of the population has never met. Anybody or the other should work.

Currently, the remote government of Italy, led by Giorgia Moneloni, no sign given to a policy change. Israel’s criticism grew, but not to the point of prompting a policy shift.

German governments have long been viewed by Israeli security as a Ratio For the German given its history. – This means it is almost impossible to criticize Israeli war in Gaza. But the opinions about that can eventually move. Chancellor, Friedrich Merz, was declared this week that Israeli actions in Gaza could no longer justified – And he can no longer understand Israel’s goals on the beach.

In fact, it is obvious that the goals of Israel, through the words of the government of Israel and, more, by its works. It is a war associated with ruhuupation, reconstruction and expulsion of mass, and is very relevant to the security of Israel and the release of hostages. Although standing for the supporters of Israel, such as Merz, it became strongly denied, and therefore not soothing and supporting it.

Suspension of provisions of agreement with EU-Israel in Au-Israel cannot stop Gaza’s war all night. But this is the first concrete step in the international community to accurately a price for Israel for its crimes. In the end, imposing such costs is the only way to make the change.

EU is Israel largest trade partnerSo the cost of the question is not important. Moving today cannot carry thousands of lives to Gaza Strip. This will remain with a stain on our collective conscience. But it reduces the bleeding hopes of a future with more death and abortion at the store.

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